According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of nitrile rubber rose sharply in September, with the price at 13583.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and then rose to 15366.67 yuan / ton at the end of the month, with a substantial increase of 13.13% in the whole month. On September 30, the NBR commodity index was 72.37, which was 41.48% lower than 123.67 (2017-02-20), and 40.20% higher than the lowest point of 51.62 on March 8, 2016. (Note: period refers to 2012-09-01 to now).
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The rise in raw material prices has supported NBR. The price of butadiene at the beginning of the month was 5612 yuan / ton and the price at the end of the month was 6288 yuan / ton, an overall increase of 12.05%; the price of acrylonitrile rose sharply, with the ex factory price of acrylonitrile Shanghai Secco at 8300 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month and 8650 yuan / ton at the end of the month, with an overall increase of 4.22%.
The downstream demand increased, which supported NBR. Since September, the epidemic situation in foreign countries has become more serious, and the demand for medical gloves continues to increase, which forms a certain support for NBR. In addition, the resumption of production and work in various parts of China continues to increase, and the start-up of downstream rubber products has rebounded. The ex factory price of nitrile manufacturers went up all the way. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of nitrile n41 in Lanhua was increased from 12200 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 13600 yuan / ton at the end of the month; the ex factory price of nitrile 1052 in Zhenjiang Nandi was increased from 15000 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 16400 yuan / ton at the end of the month. The ex factory price of nitrile increased significantly in September, and the offers of traders followed.
Aftermarket forecast: analysts from the business agency believe that, on the one hand, raw material prices are high and the cost support is obvious; on the other hand, the demand for gold, silver and ten is improved, and the demand side also has certain support. However, at present, the price of NBR is not small. It is expected that the price of NBR will remain high in the future, so it is difficult to rise sharply again.
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