1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, the average ex factory price of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 grade I products on May 11 was 4866 yuan / ton, and the average ex factory price on May 15 was 4766 yuan / ton, with a drop of 2.05% this week. The commodity index of chlorinated paraffin on May 15 was 70.97, which was the same as yesterday, 35.15% lower than the highest point of 109.43 (2013-12-03), and 11.15% higher than the lowest point of 63.85 on September 26, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-06-01 to now)

2、 Market analysis

Product: chlorinated paraffin market is stable this week. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Jiangsu Province is 4600-5000 yuan / ton, that of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Hebei Province is 3700-4500 yuan / ton, and that of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Henan Province is 4000-5300 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 4300-5300 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is about 4800 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is 4800-5400 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 4500-5500 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4000-5000 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4500-5000 yuan / ton.

Industrial chain: at present, the raw material market is running smoothly with little fluctuation. The price of wax in the upstream feed liquid is running smoothly as a whole, with some minor adjustments. The market price of raw liquid chlorine is more stable and the demand is less.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 19th week of 2020 (5.11-5.15), there are 28 kinds of commodities in the list of commodity price rise and fall in the chemical industry sector, among which 5 kinds of commodities with an increase of more than 5%, accounting for 5.6% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are respectively chloroform (15.15%), ethylene (11.60%) and caprolactam (8.46%). There are 16 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and one kind of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 1.1% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three products falling were titanium dioxide (- 7.21%), propane (- 4.70%), mixed xylene (- 3.65%). This week’s average was 0.72%.

3、 Future forecast

Chlorinated paraffin analysts believe that due to the stable raw material market, the downstream demand is low, more wait-and-see attitude. The trend of chlorinated paraffin this week is not good. It is expected that the chlorinated paraffin market will be weak and stable in the later stage.