Aniline price trend in 2019
Investigation and treatment of potential safety hazards of hazardous chemicals:
As a result of the “3.21″ water incident, the safety committee of the State Council issued an emergency notice, requiring comprehensive investigation and treatment of the potential safety hazards of hazardous chemicals. The production, storage and transportation of hazardous chemicals are faced with stricter safety inspection. The dyes, pharmaceutical intermediates and pesticide intermediates downstream of aniline are affected, and their production is suspended or limited. The demand is greatly reduced, which greatly limits the price of aniline.
Permanent shutdown of 100000 t / a aniline plant in Xinpu:
At the end of July 2017, after the 200000 t / a aniline plant in Dongying, Jinling was shut down due to an accident, the supply of aniline in the market was greatly reduced, and the price rose sharply until the plant was restarted.
Since the “3.21″ water incident, the state has been more strict in the inspection of chemical enterprises. In this inspection, two 50000 ton aniline units of Xinpu chemical have been shut down permanently since April 20. Xinpu chemical’s aniline is basically supplied to export or downstream MDI contract plants, with less market input. Although the impact on the market is small in the short term, in the long term, the downstream MDI plant contracted with it will look for other aniline enterprises, which will still lead to the decrease of aniline market supply.
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Increased cost pressure:
In 2019, the price of pure benzene showed a trend of fluctuation. At the beginning of the year (January 4), the average listing price of pure benzene enterprises was 4400 yuan / ton. As of December 20, the average listing price of mainstream pure benzene production enterprises was 5760 yuan / ton. The average price of pure benzene rose by 1360 yuan / ton, or 30.91%.
At the beginning of 2019 (January 1), the production price of nitric acid in East China was 1625 yuan / ton. As of December 20, the production price of nitric acid was 1600 yuan / ton, down 25 yuan / ton, or 1.54% compared with the beginning of the year. The annual rise and fall of nitric acid is not big, but there is a sharp rise and fall phenomenon from mid September to late October. The highest production price of nitric acid in 2019 is from September 25 to October 7, with the price of 2466.67 yuan / ton, up 51.8% over the year beginning.
With the increasing pressure on raw materials, the profit of aniline is close to the cost line. Aniline increased inventory pressure, downward cost hanging upside down, most enterprises choose to reduce the burden of poly.
Load reduction operation / maintenance of aniline plant:
From January 13 to 17, the aniline plant in Dongying plant area of Jinling was under load reduction operation;
From February 20 to 24, due to thermal power maintenance in Dongying plant area of Jinling, the aniline plant was operated with half load reduced; on February 22, Tianji aniline plant was shut down for maintenance for one week due to faults; on February 27, a 100000 t / a aniline plant in Nanhua was overhauled;
In the middle and late March, Jinling and Jinmao each had a set of 30000 T / a aniline unit shutdown to replace the catalyst;
In the first ten days of April, Dongying aniline plant in Jinling was operated with half load reduced; two 100000 ton aniline plants in Jinling, Shandong Province were overhauled from April 12 to 26; Huatai plant in Dongying was overhauled from April 17 to May 20; 130000 ton / year plant in Tianji, Shanxi Province was overhauled from April 24, and another 130000 ton plant was stopped for a long time;
From May 12 to the first ten days of June, two sets of 100000 ton aniline units were overhauled in turn;
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On June 2, two sets of 30000t aniline units in Jinmao were shut down for maintenance; on June 6, two sets of 30000t aniline units in Jinmao were shut down for maintenance;
From July to September, the downstream of aniline was in the off-season, combined with environmental inspection, the operation rate was low, and Jinling reduced the load operation;
On August 11, the 100000 ton aniline plant of Huatai in Dongying was shut down for about a week due to typhoon; on August 11, the 60000 ton / year plant of Dawang in Jinling was shut down for maintenance;
From late September to mid October, the 130000t / a plant in Tianji, Shanxi Province, stopped unsteadily;
Oct. 18-28, Huatai stopped for maintenance;
On November 1, half load of Aniline Unit in Jinling Dongying plant was reduced; on November 25, a 100000 t / a Aniline Unit in Jinling was replaced with catalyst and shut down.
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