I. price trend

According to the bulk data monitoring of the business agency, this week’s trichloromethane market in Shandong Province remained stable at a high level, with the quotation of enterprises maintained at about 2650 yuan / ton in the week, up 35.2% from the beginning of November.

II. Cause analysis

Product reason: this week, the spot supply of chloroform in Shandong gradually returned to normal. However, due to the shortage of supply in the early stage, the supply in the industry is still tight at present, the downstream market has a flat intention to receive goods, and the industry’s trading is slightly light. Shandong Jinling resumed production, Dongying Jinmao plant is recovering, Luxi Chemical industry has started 60%, Jiangsu Liwen plant has started normal operation, Jiangxi Liwen plant has started normal operation. At present, Shandong region offers about 2600-2650 yuan / ton, Jiangsu region about 3850 yuan / ton, Jiangxi region about 2950 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: in the upstream, the methanol market is up and down, with large regional differences. At present, it is about 2086 yuan / ton; the liquid chlorine market is in shock and consolidation, the supply of the liquid chlorine market is improved, and the enterprise’s quotation continues to be lowered. At present, it is over reported about 500-800 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the market price of R22 refrigerant has been greatly increased. At the end of the year, the quota of enterprises is few, the supply of small packaging is in short supply, and the transaction atmosphere has improved. At present, about 12500-16500 yuan / ton is needed; the pharmaceutical and agricultural intermediates industry has been affected by environmental protection, and the purchase is just needed.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, there are 12 kinds of commodities in the rise and fall list of commodity prices on November 21, 2019, among which the top three commodities are isopropanol (1.48%), acrylic acid (0.90%) and crude benzene (0.70%). There are 13 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and 1 kind of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products falling are caustic soda (- 11.61%), aniline (- 3.32%), DMF (- 3.10%).

III. future forecast

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, at present, the market supply of trichloromethane is gradually returning to normal. In addition, at this stage, it is in the traditional off-season of trichloromethane, and the purchase intention of the downstream market is flat. It is expected that the market of trichloromethane will keep stable operation in a short period of time, and the future market will gradually decline.