Price Trend
According to the monitoring data of business associations, as of June 17, the latest price of domestic cyclohexanone was 7800 yuan/ton, and the domestic market of cyclohexanone was weak and stable.
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II. Market Analysis
Products: Cyclohexanone market is weak, chemical fibre orders are still acceptable, inventory pressure of cyclohexanone factory has eased, downstream market is relatively cautious, market wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. The mainstream offer of cyclohexanone in North China market is delivered in cash from 7700 to 7800, the mainstream offer in East China market is delivered in cash from 8000 to 8100, and the mainstream offer in South China market is delivered in cash from 8300 to 8500.
Industry Chain: Pure Benzene: Driven by the strong crude oil, the high level of pure benzene in East China is strong, of which spot purchase price is 4680-4690 yuan/ton and sale price is 4700 yuan/ton. Negotiations in June ranged from 4700 to 4720 yuan per ton and in July from 4710 to 4740 yuan per ton. Caprolactam: Domestic caprolactam liquid spot market is temporarily stable, terminal spinning demand is weak, lack of confidence, cautious wait-and-see. The spot price of liquids in East China market refers to 11700-11800 yuan/ton for acceptance delivery, while the spot price in North China is 11900 yuan/ton for export.
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3. Future Market Forecast
There is no plan for short-term cyclohexanone spot delivery, but manufacturers have spot pressure. Weiming Petrochemical plans to put into operation 150,000 tons of phenol-based cyclohexanone unit in July and Huafeng plans to put into operation 200,000 tons of cyclohexanone unit in July. It is expected that the spot pressure will continue to increase next week. From the cost point of view, the pure benzene market is slightly upward adjustment, and the cost support is relatively stable. On the demand side, the start-up load of caprolactam market is obviously reduced, the demand for cyclohexanone is less, and the support of chemical fiber market is weak. Generally speaking, the supply of cyclohexanone may exceed the demand. Cyclohexanone analysts, business associations, predict that the recent weak operation of the cyclohexanone market may not have much room to fall.
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