441# silicon price trend
| PVA 2699 |
Regional 441# silicon prices on October 10 are as follows:
The price range of #441 metal silicon in Huangpu port is 21300-21800 yuan / ton, with an average price of 21550 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Tianjin port is 21500-22000 yuan / ton, with an average price of 21750 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Kunming is 21000-21500 / ton, with an average price of 21250 yuan / ton; The price range of #441 metallic silicon in Sichuan is 21200-21500 yuan / ton, with an average of 21350 yuan / ton; The price range of Shanghai #441 metal silicon is 24000-25500 yuan / ton, with an average price of 34750 yuan / ton.
This week, the price of metal silicon further explored. It is understood that the shipment of metal silicon is poor and the market trading atmosphere is light. The upstream and downstream are in a game state, and the silicon price operates weakly and stably at the beginning of the week. Although the market atmosphere is weak, the light cost is in a favorable position. At the end of the week, the downstream demand was weak and the upstream inventory was overstocked. In order to stimulate the transaction, it was sold at a lower price.
Downstream market conditions
According to the monitoring of the business community, the domestic polysilicon market fell slightly, with a weekly decline of 0.88%. At present, the polysilicon material price range is 165000-21000 yuan / ton, and the single crystal material price range is 258000-269000 yuan / ton; The price of aluminum alloy ADC12 remained stable, and the mainstream quotation was 19000 yuan / ton; The average price of organosilicon DMC market quotation is 26480 yuan / ton. Compared with the price on December 5 (reference price 30600 yuan / ton), the average price is reduced by 4120 yuan / ton, a decrease of 13.46%.
| POLYVINYL ALCOHOL |
The downstream performance of polysilicon was weak, the early price continued to operate at a high level, and the manufacturer’s shipment speed slowed down, resulting in accumulated inventory. In December, the manufacturer had great pressure to reduce the price and go to the warehouse. The market has peaked and loosened; The aluminum processing industry has greatly reduced production and reduced demand; Silicone enterprises began maintenance one after another, and the demand for chemical grade industrial silicon weakened.
Silicon market supply
According to the statistics of business agency, China’s industrial silicon output in November was 300000 tons, an increase of 10.1% month on month and 29.5% year-on-year; In November, the domestic inventory reached 69300 tons, and the domestic metal silicon inventory began to increase from July. The electricity prices of Yunnan and Sichuan in the dry season are generally raised. At this stage, there is no large-scale shutdown and production reduction of silicon plants. In addition, the coal price shows signs of rebound this week, the electricity price advantage of non main production areas is replaced, the cost pressure increases, and the shutdown of manufacturers is enhanced. It is expected that the large-scale production reduction in Southwest China will be in late December.
Future forecast
The metal silicon market continues to maintain a weak atmosphere, the demand side procurement remains cautious and wait-and-see, the price of raw coal is explored, the cost pressure is increasing day by day, the downstream energy consumption dual control policy still has a certain impact on the aluminum industry and the continuous maintenance of silicone plants. In the future, the metal silicon market is expected to return to the balance of supply and demand. Business analysts believe that in the short term, the price of metal silicon will be mainly weak, but the space for further decline will be narrowed.
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