According to the monitoring sample data of the business community, as of June 25, the average price of melamine enterprises was 10666.67 yuan / ton, which was flat compared with the price at the beginning of the week, decreased by 1.84% compared with the price on May 25 (10866.67 yuan / ton), and increased by 31.42% year-on-year in a three-month cycle.
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Since entering June, the melamine market rose broadly in the first half of the month, with a rise of 16.18%. From the second half of the month, the market rose slowly. This week, the market prices in different regions showed differences. The prices in the northern region were running at a high level, the demand side performance was poor, the high-end trading was weak, and the market atmosphere was weak. Sichuan and Xinjiang prices rose, the market atmosphere is fair. This week, the melamine operating rate has declined, the market supply side has decreased, but the domestic trade demand follow-up is insufficient, the market performance is general.
Upstream urea, as of June 25, Shandong urea market rose, compared with the price at the beginning of the week by 0.75%. The price of upstream coal has risen sharply recently, and the cost support has been strengthened. From the aspect of demand, the demand of agriculture in different areas has been cooling down, and the demand of agriculture has been decreasing; However, the price of compound fertilizer in the lower reaches has risen, and the construction of rubber sheet factories and melamine enterprises is acceptable, and most of them are used as soon as they are mined. In terms of supply, the daily output of urea plants is still lower than that of the same period last year, and the supply side is tight. At the same time, the enterprise inventory and social inventory are also kept at a low position. Affected by the shortage of coal, some areas begin to reduce production.
Melamine analysts of business news agency believe that the price of upstream urea is relatively strong in the near future, and the cost pressure still exists, but the demand side is relatively weak, and the market is in a strong wait-and-see mood. It is expected that the price of melamine may be stable and loose in the short term, and more attention should be paid to the information guidance of upstream and downstream.
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