According to the monitoring data of the business society, the price trend of domestic fluorite will decline in 2020, with an average price of 2894.44 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year and 27.1889 million tons at the end of the year, with an annual decline of 6.07%. It can be clearly seen from the price trend chart of fluorite that the highest price of fluorite in 2020 will appear in the middle of March, with the highest price of 3400 yuan / ton. The lowest price of fluorite will appear on May 12, with the lowest price of 2577.78 yuan / ton. The market price of the whole year will go down.
POLYVINYL ALCOHOL |
The price trend in 2020 can be roughly divided into three stages: the first stage is from the beginning of the year to the middle of March, and the price trend of domestic fluorite market rises; the second stage is from the late March to the middle of May, and the domestic fluorite price drops sharply; the third stage is from the late May to the end of the year, and the price trend of fluorite fluctuates and rises, and the specific trend is as follows:
In the first stage, from the beginning of 2020 to the middle of March, the price trend of domestic fluorite market rises, with the price of 2894.44 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year and 3400 yuan / ton in the middle of March, with the price trend rising by 17.47%. The main impacts are as follows: on the one hand, due to the impact of the Spring Festival holiday, domestic fluorite plants stopped a lot during the period; in addition, due to the impact of public health events, the mine and flotation plant started later, the fluorite supply in the plant was relatively tight, and the fluorite price rose; on the other hand, from the perspective of demand, the delivery situation of domestic hydrofluoric acid manufacturers improved, and the price of hydrofluoric acid increased The market price of hydrofluoric acid rose sharply. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid dropped by 12.5%. The downstream market price of hydrofluoric acid rose sharply. The fluorite market was supported by favorable conditions, and the price rose sharply. Finally, the market price of the downstream refrigerant of the terminal has increased. Recently, the trading market of the downstream refrigerant of the terminal has turned around. At present, the automobile industry is gradually returning to work, the domestic R22 supply is normal, and the market price of the domestic R22 refrigerant has increased. The start-up load of the manufacturer’s production device is still not high, the supply situation of the market is general, and the downstream air conditioning manufacturers stop more, and the demand has little change The mainstream price of domestic large enterprises is 16500-18500 yuan / ton. The price trend of domestic R134a market is temporarily stable, and the operating rate of production enterprises remains low. At present, the downstream operation is not high, and the demand for R134a is general. At present, the supply of R134a in the market is normal, and the downstream market has improved, which is also a good support for the fluorite market.
The second stage is from late March to mid May, when the domestic fluorite price dropped sharply. The domestic price of fluorite decreased from 3400 yuan / ton to 2577.78 yuan / ton, a decrease of 24.18%. On the one hand, the operating rate of domestic fluorite plant has increased recently, the mine and flotation plant in the field have gradually resumed work, and the supply of fluorite in the field has increased. Due to the sufficient supply of fluorite in the field, the price of fluorite has continued to decline. In addition, the price trend of downstream hydrofluoric acid has declined. For the fluorite market, the demand procurement is poor, and the price of fluorite in the market is low slide downward. In the near future, the downstream units are generally started, the spot supply of fluorite is sufficient, and the terminal downstream procurement is not active, which leads to the continuous decline of market price. On the other hand, the recent sales downturn in the automotive industry, the terminal downstream refrigerant market trend is poor, the demand for refrigerant continues to decline, the domestic supply of R22 is sufficient, the domestic market price trend of R22 refrigerant drops, the start-up load of manufacturers’ production devices is still not high, the market supply situation is normal, the downstream air conditioning manufacturers stop more, and the demand changes little Under the influence of the public health incident, the export was blocked, the transaction center moved down, the market was weak, the downstream refrigerant market was poor, and the fluorite market price fell sharply.
The third stage is from late May to the end of the year, and the price of fluorite fluctuates and rises. With the end of the peak sales season of the domestic refrigeration industry, the domestic fluorite price range fluctuates, with the price of 2577.78 yuan / ton in late May and 2718.89 yuan / ton at the end of the year, with an increase of 5.47% in the third stage. The merchants are not willing to sell the fluorite at a low price. The fluorite supply is slightly tight, and the prices are slightly lower. The domestic fluorite manufacturers are running stably, the operation of mines and flotation units in the field is normal, the goods in the fluorite field are in general, and the fluorite market price rises slightly. In addition, recently, the export of refrigerants has been restricted to a certain extent, the overseas epidemic situation is serious, and the export of refrigerants has fallen sharply, resulting in the low price of domestic refrigerants industry. Recently, the sales of the automobile industry is depressed, the market price of the refrigerant downstream of the terminal is depressed, the foreign special events are serious, the export of the refrigerant terminal is not smooth, and the domestic air conditioning industry starts low, and the demand for maintenance and after-sales is weak. On the whole, the domestic and foreign demand is less than expected. The price of refrigerants dropped sharply. In addition, the purchasing of downstream industries was not active, and the demand was poor. The price of refrigerants was low. The hydrofluoric acid market was affected by bad news, and the price of fluorite fluctuated.
In general, the fluorite market will decline sharply in 2020, and the price trend of various products in the fluorite chemical industry will decline. The price trend of fluorite downstream hydrofluoric acid Market in 2020 is as follows:
From the correlation trend chart of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid, it can be clearly seen that the trend of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid is quite close. In 2020, the market prices of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid will decline to varying degrees, the domestic demand will not improve, and the market of fluorine chemical raw materials will be poor.
Chen Ling, fluorite analyst of business society, believes that the fluorite market will be tepid in 2020. From the perspective of fluorite market supply, domestic environmental protection efforts will not be reduced, and some domestic fluorite manufacturers will still be unable to start normal operation. The domestic fluorite market supply will be limited to a certain extent, so the fluorite price will be supported to a certain extent. However, in the near future, domestic fluorite export volume will increase, and the import fluorite price will increase If the price is low, it will continue to impact the domestic fluorite market price, and the domestic fluorite price amplitude will not be too large. Therefore, considering the whole year of 2021, the highest price of fluorite in the market will not exceed 3500 yuan / ton, and the lowest price of fluorite in 2021 will remain above 2500 yuan / ton due to the strengthening of domestic environmental protection.
http://www.polyvinylalcohols.com |