1、 Price trend

 
According to the bulk data monitoring of the business association, the trichloromethane market in Shandong Province maintained stable operation, and the price of trichloromethane remained at about 2000 yuan / ton.

2、 Cause analysis

Product reason: due to the impact of enterprise parking, the spot supply of trichloromethane in Shandong Province is tight, including 440000 T / a plant in Jinling, Shandong Province, 40000 t / a plant in Jinmao, Dongying, Shandong Province, 400000 T / a plant in Luxi Chemical Industry, and 280000 T / a plant in Dongyue, Shandong Province. However, the downstream market is just short of demand. In addition, the logistics and transportation have just been restored, and the enterprises offer more stable prices. At present The quotation in Shandong is about 2000 yuan / ton, Jiangxi Liwen is about 2150 yuan / ton, and Jiangsu is about 2800 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: in the upstream, with the opening of domestic logistics and transportation, the trading atmosphere of domestic methanol market has changed, and the volume of transactions is significant, at present, about 2022 yuan / ton; the overall supply and demand of liquid chlorine market is weak, and the enterprise has a strong attitude of pricing but poor trading in the industry, at present, about 100-300 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the domestic refrigerant market is still at a low level, and the intra industry trading is relatively weak; the pharmaceutical and agricultural market and solvent industry are not at a high level, the demand is flat, and the price support for chloroform is insufficient.

3、 Future forecast

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, although the trichloromethane production enterprises in Shandong Province stop more to reduce the negative, the demand in the downstream market is still weak. The enterprise’s shipment depends on the inventory, which is insufficient to support the price of trichloromethane, and it is expected to maintain stable operation in a short time.

1、 Price trend

Market analysis of potash products

According to the data monitored by the business association, the average factory price including tax of light potash in recent years is 6375.00 yuan / ton, which is stable. The current price is down 7.44% year on year.

2、 Analysis of influencing factors

Products: the market of potassium carbonate has been stable in the near future. Due to the impact of the epidemic, potassium carbonate enterprises are actively preparing to resume work, among which Wentong potash Group Co., Ltd., Wenshui Zhenxing chemical fertilizer Co., Ltd. and Jiaocheng County Hesheng Chemical Co., Ltd. have resumed work. The import volume of potassium chloride in the upstream port is still increasing, but most of it enters the bonded area, which is not available for sale temporarily, and the price is stable. There is a certain price support for potash, the market supply of potash is acceptable, the actual market volume is flat, the downstream purchase volume maintains rigid demand purchase, and the domestic potash market is stable. According to the statistics of the business agency: in February, the main quotation range of domestic industrial potassium carbonate is about 6200-6600 yuan / ton (the quotation is only for reference), and the quotation varies according to the purchase situation.

3、 Future forecast

According to potash analysts of the business association, the recent consolidation of nitric acid market is the main trend. Overall, potash market is not volatile. In the short term, the price of potash is mainly consolidation, and the long-term market still needs to wait and see. (the above prices are provided by the major potassium nitrate manufacturers all over the country and analyzed by the potassium carbonate analyst of the business association, for reference only. For more details, please contact the relevant manufacturers for consultation).

1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business association, the sales price of sulfuric acid in Shandong fell slightly this week. The quotation dropped from 320.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 313.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 2.08%, down 25.98% year on year. Overall, the sulfuric acid market fell slightly this week, with the sulfuric acid commodity index at 48.77 on February 21

2、 Market analysis

（1） Products:

This week, the price of the mainstream sulfuric acid manufacturers in Shandong Province fell slightly, the inventory of manufacturers was small, and the downstream demand was general. The weekend quotation of Heze Jiangyuan is 000 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; the weekend quotation of Zouping Tianlu is 190 yuan / ton, which is slightly lower than the beginning of the week, which is 20 yuan / ton; the quotation of Jinan Yuanfei is 450 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable.

（2） Industrial chain:

In recent years, the domestic sulfur market has been in low order consolidation, while the downstream monoammonium market has been in general trading, with light trading and unsatisfactory new orders. The market for diammonium has also been in low order consolidation, with less downstream demand. Sulfuric acid enterprises have more early orders, short-term construction is insufficient, and supply is slightly tight. This week, the domestic sulfuric acid plants operated smoothly, the market supply was relatively tight, the downstream gas buying was general, and the market turnover was limited.

3、 Future forecast

After the adjustment in January, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. The price of sulfur in the upstream is low, and the downstream is in general operation. Under the contradiction of supply and demand, the product trend is downward. Sulfuric acid analysts of business news agency believe that under the influence of supply and demand, raw materials and other aspects of the short-term Shandong market, the market of sulfuric acid is mainly low and consolidated.

1、 Price trend

The price of pure benzene fell this week, according to the data in the business club’s large list. Last Friday (February 7) the price of pure benzene was 5200-5800 yuan / ton, and this Friday’s price was 5050-5800 yuan / ton, down 0.56% from last week.

2、 Analysis and comment

1. Product: the port inventory of pure benzene this week is not much different from last week. The downstream starting load of pure benzene is still low, the demand is limited, and the overall trading atmosphere of the market is not active. Some northern enterprises are forced by the pressure of shipment to promote the transaction at a low price.

2. Crude oil: this week, the overall crude oil price rose, the market is good. The impact of the epidemic has eased, OPEC is willing to cut production strongly, and geographical factors are favorable for oil prices. WTI was up 2.98% and Brent was up 5.71% compared with February 14.

3. Downstream industry: the mainstream price of styrene in China rose slightly this week, with Friday’s price at 6633.33 yuan / ton, 1.02% higher than last week.

This week, affected by Jinling’s parking and Nanhua’s cargo preparation, the supply of aniline decreased and the price rose, 2.3% higher than last week.

3、 Future forecast

1. Crude oil: oil price may continue to rise next week, but the rise will slow down.

1. Market: the demand for downstream styrene is not strong, the inventory pressure increases, the operating rate decreases, and other downstream operating rates also decrease. The demand has greatly restricted the pure benzene market.

It is reported that Japan and South Korea have a lot of equipment overhauls in March. Pay attention to the operating rate of downstream pure benzene enterprises in the later stage.

1、 Price trend

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, as of February 19, the average market price of butanone was around 8533.33 yuan / ton based on the quotations of several sample enterprises, which was 300 yuan / ton lower than last week, down 3.76%.

2、 Market analysis

Product: since this week, the butanone market has seen a decline in offers, with relatively cold transactions, lower factory prices, and few businesses returning to work. Some factories have certain sales pressure and relatively high inventory. The factory price of Shandong Province is 7800 yuan / ton. At present, most of the traders do not operate in the market, mainly wait-and-see, with the impact of traffic control. The automobile transportation in South China is not smooth, and the volume of transactions is small. The market reference price is 8700-8800 yuan / ton, 300 yuan / ton lower than last week. The butanone Market in East China has fallen sharply, with poor demand. The market reference price is 8100-8200 yuan / ton, 550 yuan / ton lower than last week. In North China The butanone market in the district fell slowly, and the market reference price was 8100 yuan / ton spot exchange. The ex factory quotation of butanone of Shandong Dongming group is 8000 yuan / ton, 700 yuan / ton lower than the previous day; the ex factory quotation of butanone of Zibo Qixiang Tengda Chemical Co., Ltd. is 8600 yuan / ton; the ex factory quotation of butanone of Ningbo Jinfa New Material Co., Ltd. is 8100 yuan / ton.

Industrial chain: the mainstream transaction price of Civil liquefied gas market is 3550-3700 yuan / ton, and the high volume is less and continues to rise, driving some low prices to follow up, but the overall transaction is light; in the middle of this week, the price of liquefied gas market in Shandong province rises, with the mainstream price around 3400-3700 yuan / ton; the price of liquefied gas market in North China rises slightly, with the mainstream price around 3500 yuan / ton; the price of liquefied gas market in East China The market price is stable as a whole. The mainstream price is around 3600-3620 yuan / ton. The main transaction price of post ether carbon tetrachloride is 3500-3600 yuan / ton. With the slowdown of downstream demand, the price of post ether carbon tetrachloride is significantly reduced, and it is expected to continue downward consolidation in the later period.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, on February 18, 2020, there are 19 kinds of commodities rising in the price up and down list of bulk 58, which are concentrated in the non-ferrous (7 kinds) and agricultural and sideline (4 kinds). The top three commodities are liquefied natural gas (2.00%), iron ore (Australia) (1.30%) and rapeseed oil (0.91%). There are 12 kinds of commodities decreased on a month on month basis, which are mainly rubber and plastic (3 kinds in total) and energy (3 kinds in total). The first three commodities decreased were cement (- 1.47%), LLDPE (- 1.46%) and acetic acid (- 1.21%). The average rise and fall of this day is 0.03%.

3、 Future forecast

According to the analysis of the data analyst of the business association, it is expected that the butanone market will be limited by transportation this week, and the market will continue to be cold. Next week, with the gradual recovery of transportation and upstream and downstream industries, the overall demand of the butanone market is expected to increase.

1、 Price trend

According to the data of business agency, on February 17, the average price of n-propanol was 10133 yuan / ton, a decrease of 667 yuan / ton, or 4.40%, compared with a week ago (February 10).

2、 Market analysis

Product: at present, the market of n-propanol is weak and the trading is flat. Influenced by the logistics and transportation, the downstream demand is very low, and there are few transactions. On February 17, the market quotation of n-propanol in Shandong was lowered, and the ex factory price in Shandong is around 9500-10000 yuan / ton (specification: barrel) Zibo area), the price of bulk water is low, the reference is around 8900-9100 yuan / ton, and the ex factory quotation of Shandong fengcang chemical n-propanol is 9500 yuan / ton (specification: barreled Shandong Zibo). The market quotation of imported n-propanol is stable, with reference to 10800-11600 yuan / ton barrel (Taiwan). Zhangjiagang Free Trade Zone Yexing Chemical Trade Co., Ltd. offers 10600 yuan / ton of n-propanol (barreled / Dalian, Taiwan) Shanghai Yilian Chemical Co., Ltd. offers 11600 yuan / ton of n-propanol (barreled / Dalian, Taiwan); Ningbo Haorui Chemical Co., Ltd. offers 9500 yuan / ton of n-propanol (standard: barreled In Zibo, Shandong Province), part of the stocks of n-propanol traders have high quotations, and dealers all over the country still reserve the prices. The price is not easy to monitor, which may lead to specific negotiation situations or differences. Each region also has differences, and the actual single negotiation is the main one.

Industrial chain: on February 17, the market price of propylene in Shandong picked up. During the Spring Festival, the international crude oil market continued to decline sharply, and recently recovered slightly. The domestic propylene price also fell for many times, with more than a drop. Since February, the price of propylene in Shandong Province has been declining all the way. On November 11, the price of some enterprises recovered slightly and then declined. In the following days, the price fluctuated. Today, the price has been generally reversed. At present, the market turnover is about 5800-6200 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is 5850-6000 yuan / ton. There are still many units in the upstream and downstream industries that have been shut down for maintenance, but the terminal manufacturers have started to return to work one after another, the logistics and transportation have also recovered, and the demand for propylene has increased slightly. On the other hand, the market price of crude oil has continued to rise slightly, which also has a supporting effect on propylene, so it is expected that the market price of propylene will rise slightly in recent days.

Industry: n-propanol is the main raw material for the production of green food printing ink n-Propyl Acetate. It is also the main raw material for the pesticide raw materials n-propylamine, di-propylamine, cleaning agent bromopropane and glycol monopropyl ether. N-propanol is also an excellent solvent, which can be used as a special solvent for aniline printing ink, especially for polyolefin and polyamide film printing. In addition, it can also be used as a solvent for Carboxymethylation of cellulose, a gelling agent and a plasticizer for cellulose acetate.

3、 Future forecast

According to the analysts, the domestic market of n-propanol is expected to be stable in recent days after the current shock and downturn. The future market will wait for the change of raw material price and shipment.

1、 Price trend:

On February 16, the hydrogenated benzene commodity index was 57.76, unchanged from yesterday, down 43.38% from 102.01 (2014-01-09), the highest point in the cycle, and up 29.62% from 44.56, the lowest point on August 31, 2015. (Note: cycle refers to 2013-12-01 to now).

2、 Market analysis:

Domestic market: due to factors such as traffic and delay in resumption of work, Sinopec’s price of pure benzene has been lowered, while that of hydrogenated benzene has been falling. By Friday, the main price of hydrogenated benzene in Shandong was 4800-5000 yuan / ton, about 150-200 yuan / ton. After the saving, the bidding price of crude benzene has been lowered. The main price in Shandong is 3500-3600 yuan / ton, and the price difference with that of hydrogenated benzene has reached about 1400 yuan / ton, greatly easing the situation Due to the cost pressure of the hydrogenation benzene enterprise, but affected by road transportation and commencement delay, the operation rate of the main production area of hydrogenation benzene is about 50% in the near future, and there is no specific operation time for some units.

Industrial chain: crude oil: the crude oil market is still restricted by the epidemic this week. However, the market is concerned about the process of OPEC production reduction, and the impact of the epidemic has eased. This week, the crude oil market recovered. WTI was up 2.2% and Brent was up 4.07% compared with February 7. Pure benzene: pure benzene port inventory accumulation. The process of downstream resumption is slow. In addition, styrene plant reduces production and raw materials are released. At present, pure benzene is in the situation of weak supply and demand, and is still constrained by transportation. Downstream: most of the downstream enterprises operate with reduced load and some factories stop. The price of styrene in Shandong this week was 6600 yuan / ton, down 5.04% from last Friday. Jinling aniline plant was shut down, the supply of goods decreased, but due to the constraints of downstream demand, the price increased slightly.

3、 Trend Forecast:

Next week, the oil price will focus on the process of OPEC production reduction and the recovery of the epidemic situation. In the near future, pure benzene enterprises will reduce the load operation, and the start-up of hydrogenation benzene enterprises will not be high. The external plate of pure benzene will be in weak operation in the near future. It is expected that the market of hydrogenated benzene will be dominated by weak consolidation next week.

1、 Trend analysis

 
According to the nickel price monitoring of the business agency, the spot nickel price rose first and then fell this week. The weekend price was 105583.33 yuan / ton, up 0.32% from 10525 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, up 6.22% year on year.

2、 Market analysis

This week, Shanghai nickel’s main market opened at 103500 yuan, then the price fell in shock, closing at 104650 yuan, down 0.58%. LME3 closed at US $13160 at the end of the month, up 2.57% on a weekly basis.

This week, nickel prices fluctuated, traders took goods cautiously, and the procurement of downstream enterprises was limited, some of which had not yet started, and market trading was not active. The performance of the consumer side was poor, and the growth rate of new energy vehicles continued to decline. The stainless steel inventory is at a new high. After the year, the procurement is limited, and some downstream works have not been started.

3、 Future prospects

Future forecast: Although many traders return to work this week, the logistics is not smooth and the downstream consumption is not good. In addition, the demand for nickel for electric vehicles is optimistic, and there is support under the nickel price. Nickel price is expected to maintain a narrow range of volatility in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the data monitoring of the business association, on February 12, the domestic phosphorus ore market was weak and stable. Based on several sample areas, the average ex factory price of 30% grade phosphorus ore was around 403 yuan / ton, basically the same as before the Spring Festival. On February 11, the phosphorus ore commodity index was 74.01, unchanged from yesterday, down 37.17% from 117.80 (2012-07-09), the highest point in the cycle, and up 44.04% from 51.38, the lowest point on December 24, 2018. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

2、 Market analysis

Products: at present, the domestic phosphorus ore market as a whole is still shut down, production is still low, the market atmosphere is light, the transaction has not yet recovered, the market demand is slow to start, many mines are delayed to start construction to about 15, and the enterprises in production are properly stocked. At present, the market prices of phosphorus ore in various regions are basically based on the prices before the year, 30% of the price of ammonium phosphate ore car in Guizhou is 320-360 yuan / ton, which is expensive The price of phosphate rock in Huizhou Fuquan Huifa Mining Co., Ltd. is stable, the price of 30% grade phosphate rock car board is 350 yuan / ton; the price of 28% grade phosphate rock car board is 310 yuan / ton; the reference price of 30% grade phosphate ore train platform in Guizhou Kaiyang Guanglong mining Co., Ltd. is 330 yuan / ton. The current market is waiting to be sorted out and operated.

Industrial chain: the operating rate of phosphate rock downstream product phosphoric acid enterprises is low. Limited by the current environment, the demand of phosphoric acid market is weak and weak. At present, the reference price of 85% industrial phosphoric acid Market in Jiangsu Province is 5500-5800 yuan / ton; the ex factory price of 85% Industrial phosphoric acid of Guangxi Mingli Group Co., Ltd. is 5400 yuan / ton; the industrial price of 85% of Kunming Southern Yunnan industry and Trade Co., Ltd. in Yunnan Province is 85% The ex factory price of phosphoric acid is 5700 yuan / ton; the ex factory price of 85% phosphoric acid in Sichuan Sichuan Kanglong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 5200 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price of 75% phosphoric acid is 4350 yuan / ton.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, there are 13 kinds of commodities in the price up and down list of bulk 58 on February 11, 2020, which are concentrated in the nonferrous plate (5 kinds in total) and the agricultural and sideline plate (2 kinds in total). The top three commodities are titanium dioxide (2.18%), nickel (1.24%) and soybean meal (1.08%). There are 17 kinds of commodities decreased on a month on month basis, which are concentrated in energy (4 kinds in total) and steel (4 kinds in total), and the commodities with a decline of more than 5% are mainly concentrated in rubber and plastic plate; the top three commodities decreased were pet (- 8.82%), egg (- 4.96%), glycol (- 4.59%). The average price of this day was – 0.54%.

3、 Future forecast

According to the analysis of the data analyst of the business club, the data analyst of the business club thinks that it is expected that the subsequent start-up of the phosphate ore market will be gradually restored, the enterprises will resume their work one after another, and the overall market will gradually improve.

1、 Price trend

According to the data in the bulk list of business associations, the average ex factory price of domestic caprolactam liquid on February 3 was 11200 yuan / ton, and the average ex factory price of domestic caprolactam liquid on February 10 was 11033 yuan / ton, with the weekly price down 1.49%. Up to now, the caprolactam commodity index on February 10 is 55.49, down 0.34 points from yesterday, 44.51% from the highest point of 100.00 (2017-03-02), and 3.76% higher than the lowest point of 53.48 on December 5, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2017-03-01 till now)

2、 Market analysis

Product: up to now, the price of caprolactam liquid of Shandong Luxi Chemical Co., Ltd. is 10300 yuan / ton, cash is delivered, the manufacturer’s capacity is 300000 tons, and the actual transaction can be discussed. The price of Nanjing Dongfang caprolactam liquid is 11750 yuan / ton, and the unit capacity is 400000 tons / year. The price of Baling Hengyi caprolactam liquid is 11550 yuan / ton, and the capacity of the unit is 450000 tons / year, which will be delivered upon acceptance. The price of caprolactam liquid of Baling Petrochemical Company is 11550 yuan / ton, and the capacity of the unit is 300000 tons / year, which will be delivered upon acceptance. Fujian Tianchen Yaolong caprolactam liquid price 11600 yuan / ton, contract order, unit capacity 280000 tons / year.

Industrial chain: the price of pure benzene has been declining since February. This week is the first week of returning to work after the Spring Festival. Affected by the epidemic, the downstream operating rate is low, the operating load is not high and the transportation is limited. The pure benzene market is light and the price is declining. This week’s pure benzene port inventory is down from the year before. After the Spring Festival, the market of cyclohexanone is basically closed, with few transactions. Due to the impact of national traffic and road logistics, most of the terminal factories were delayed to return to work, the starting load of caprolactam was reduced, the demand for cyclohexanone was also reduced, the inventory of cyclohexanone factories was increased, the production was reduced, the traders did not return to work temporarily, the market wait-and-see atmosphere was strong, and the delivery was cold. In terms of price, the quoted price of cyclohexanone is still the price before the festival, and the mainstream factory price is 7300-7450 yuan / ton, so there is no transaction price temporarily.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, there are five kinds of commodities in the list of rise and fall of bulk commodity prices in the fifth week of 2020 (2.3-2.7). The top three commodities are isopropanol (1.47%), 1,4-butanediol (0.82%) and butanone (0.76%). There are 25 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, with 3 kinds of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 3.5% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top 3 products falling are ox (- 7.94%), PX (- 6.67%) and glycol (- 6.47%). This week’s gains and losses were – 0.64%.

3、 Future forecast

Caprolactam analysts of the business association believe that at present, the downstream terminal market is rare to resume work, the demand for caprolactam is weakened, the purchase intention is not strong, and the price of raw materials is reduced. Therefore, the price of caprolactam has been lowered, and more inventory orders have been placed. It is expected that caprolactam market will continue to be weak in the later period, with a downward trend.